Value of ratio of hemoglobin to body mass index combined with fasting blood glucose in diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus in early pregnancy
-
摘要: 目的 探讨妊娠早期血红蛋白(Hb)与体质指数(BMI)比值和空腹血糖(GLU)在妊娠糖尿病预测中的价值,构建孕早期妊娠妇女妊娠期糖尿病(gestational diabetes mellitus,GDM)风险预测模型。方法 选取2021年4月—2023年4月于医院产科产检并分娩的1 113例单胎孕妇为研究对象,收集一般临床资料及孕早期Hb、GLU等结果。根据口服葡萄糖耐量试验(OGTT)结果分为GDM组(341例)和妊娠期血糖正常对照组(772例),比较两组人群临床代谢特征,采用二元logistic回归分析筛选指标并建立预测模型。采用受试者工作特性(ROC)曲线分析各项指标及诊断模型预测GDM模型的效能。结果 GDM组在孕早期体重、GLU、Hb、血压、经产率、高龄产妇比例及高BMI比例上均高于对照组,而Hb/BMI比值则低于对照组,差异均有统计学意义(P < 0.001)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,单项指标GLU、联合指标(Hb/BMI比值+GLU)鉴别诊断GDM价值较高,ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.720、0.737,灵敏度为55.1%和67.7%,特异度为21.6%和29.3%。预测模型诊断GDM发生风险的AUC为0.769,最佳临界值为0.31,灵敏度为68.6%,特异度为73.6%。结论 妊娠早期Hb与BMI比值和GLU水平与GDM的发生有一定关系,联合可预测GDM的发生可能性。
-
关键词:
- 血红蛋白与体质指数比值 /
- 妊娠糖尿病 /
- 空腹血糖 /
- ROC曲线 /
- 预测模型
Abstract: Objective To investigate the value of the ratio of hemoglobin to body mass index and fasting blood glucose in the prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus(GDM) in the first trimester, and build a GDM risk prediction model for pregnant women in the first trimester.Methods From April 2021 to April 2023, 1 113 single pregnant women who were given birth in the obstetric department of our hospital were selected as the study objects. General clinical data and the results of hemoglobin and fasting blood glucose in early pregnancy were collected. OGTT test results were divided into GDM group and control group. Clinical metabolic characteristics of the two groups were compared, and binary logistic regression was used to analyze the screening indicators and establish the prediction model. Receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve was used to analyze the performance of each index and the diagnostic model to predict the GDM model.Results In the GDM group, the weight, fasting blood glucose, hemoglobin, blood pressure, postpartum rate, proportion of old women and high BMI in early pregnancy were higher than those in the normal blood glucose group, while the Hb/BMI ratio was lower than that in the normal group, with statistical significance(P < 0.001). ROC curve analysis results showed that single index fasting blood glucose and combined index(Hb/BMI + blood glucose) had higher value in differential diagnosis of GDM (area under the curve [AUC] was 0.720, 0.737, sensitivity was 55.1% and 67.7%, specificity was 21.6% and 29.3%). The predictive model had an AUC of 0.769, the optimal critical value was 0.31, the sensitivity was 68.6%, and the specificity was 73.6%.Conclusion The ratio of hemoglobin to body mass index and fasting blood glucose level in early pregnancy may have a certain relationship with the occurrence of GDM, and the combination can predict the occurrence of GDM.-
Key words:
- Hb/BMI ratio /
- gestational diabetes mellitus /
- fasting blood glucose /
- ROC curve /
- prediction model
-
-
表 1 对照组和GDM组孕妇的基本临床资料比较
变量 总人数(n=1 113) 对照组(n=772) GDM组(n=341) t/χ2 P Hb/(g/L) 122.68±11.03 121.70±10.83 124.91±11.19 t=-4.520 < 0.001 GLU/(mmol/L) 4.57±0.54 4.44±0.39 4.87±0.68 t=-10.734 < 0.001 Hb/BMI 5.65±0.88 5.76±0.86 5.42±0.87 t=6.113 < 0.001 身高/cm 157.57±4.75 157.78±4.75 157.08±4.72 t=2.279 0.023 孕早期体重/kg 54.91±8.89 53.52±8.12 58.07±9.73 t=-7.559 < 0.001 BP/mmHga 106.82±11.69 104.97±10.74 111.01±12.65 t=-7.683 < 0.001 舒张压/mmHg 71.06±8.54 70.13±8.01 73.16±9.30 t=-5.222 < 0.001 孕次/次 2.32±1.41 2.33±1.34 2.28±1.55 t=0.461 0.645 产次/例(%) χ2=4.978 0.026 0 493(44.29) 359(46.50) 134(39.30) ≥1 620(55.71) 413(53.50) 207(60.70) BMI/例(%) χ2=68.114 < 0.001 < 24 kg/m2 838(75.29) 636(82.38) 202(59.24) ≥24 kg/m2 275(24.71) 136(17.62) 139(40.76) 年龄/例(%) χ2=28.192 < 0.001 < 35岁 793(71.25) 587(76.04) 206(60.41) ≥35岁 320(28.75) 185(23.96) 135(39.59) 注:a1 mmHg=0.133 kPa。 表 2 各单项指标及Hb/BMI与GLU联合指标鉴别GDM的诊断价值
指标 AUC(95%CI) 最佳截断值 灵敏度 特异度 Youden指数 年龄/岁 0.632(0.597~0.667) 31.5 0.666 0.455 0.211 GLU/(mmol/L) 0.720(0.686~0.754) 4.7 0.551 0.216 0.335 孕早期体重/kg 0.651(0.616~0.686) 54.6 0.630 0.391 0.239 BMI/(kg/m2) 0.678(0.643~0.712) 21.5 0.713 0.426 0.287 Hb/(g/L) 0.588(0.551~0.621) 122.5 0.622 0.472 0.150 Hb/BMI 0.612(0.760~0.648) 5.4 0.496 0.324 0.172 收缩压/mmHg 0.644(0.608~0.679) 109.5 0.531 0.311 0.220 舒张压/mmHg 0.589(0.553~0.626) 76.5 0.355 0.212 0.143 Hb/BMI+GLU 0.737(0.704~0.770) 0.3 0.677 0.293 0.384 表 3 妊娠早期影响孕妇患GDM风险的单因素logistic回归分析结果
变量 β SE Wald χ2 P OR(95%CI) 年龄≥35岁 0.82 0.16 5.01 < 0.001 2.27(1.65~3.13) BMI≤24 kg/m2 -1.08 0.17 -6.28 < 0.001 0.34(0.24~0.47) Hb 0.03 0.01 4.35 < 0.001 1.03(1.02~1.05) GLU 1.66 0.19 8.69 < 0.001 5.28(3.63~7.68) 身高 -0.04 0.02 -2.23 0.026 0.96(0.93~0.99) 收缩压 0.05 0.01 6.74 < 0.001 1.05(1.03~1.06) 舒张压 0.05 0.01 4.85 < 0.001 1.05(1.03~1.07) Hb/BMI -0.40 0.09 -4.41 < 0.001 0.67(0.56~0.80) 体重 0.05 0.01 5.99 < 0.001 1.06(1.04~1.07) 表 4 训练样本多因素二元logistic回归分析结果
变量 β SE Wald χ2 P OR(95%CI) Hb/BMI -0.39 0.12 9.89 0.002 0.68(0.53~0.86) BP 0.03 0.01 9.51 0.002 1.03(1.01~1.04) GLU 1.41 0.19 53.55 < 0.001 4.10(2.80~5.96) Hb 0.04 0.01 19.39 < 0.001 1.04(1.02~1.06) 年龄≥35岁 0.56 0.19 9.00 0.003 1.75(1.21~2.52) 常量 -12.82 1.54 69.51 < 0.001 0.001 -
[1] American Diabetes Association. 14. management of diabetes in pregnancy: Standards of medical care in diabetes-2019[J]. Diabetes Care, 2019, 42(Suppl 1): S165-S172.
[2] Sweeting A, Wong J, Murphy HR, et al. A clinical update on gestational diabetes mellitus[J]. Endocr Rev, 2022, 43(5): 763-793. doi: 10.1210/endrev/bnac003
[3] McCarthy KJ, Liu SH, Huynh M, et al. Influence of gestational diabetes mellitus on diabetes risk and glycemic control in a retrospective population-based cohort[J]. Diabetes Care, 2023, 46(8): 1483-1491. doi: 10.2337/dc22-1676
[4] Ning H, Tao H, Weng ZP, et al. Plasma fatty acid-binding protein 4(FABP4) as a novel biomarker to predict gestational diabetes mellitus[J]. Acta Diabetol, 2016, 53(6): 891-898. doi: 10.1007/s00592-016-0867-8
[5] Tawfeek MA, Alfadhli EM, Alayoubi AM, et al. Sex hormone binding globulin as a valuable biochemical marker in predicting gestational diabetes mellitus[J]. BMC Womens Health, 2017, 17(1): 18. doi: 10.1186/s12905-017-0373-3
[6] Gillet V, Ouellet A, Stepanov Y, et al. miRNA profiles in extracellular vesicles from serum early in pregnancies complicated by gestational diabetes mellitus[J]. J Clin Endocrinol Metab, 2019, 104(11): 5157-5169. doi: 10.1210/jc.2018-02693
[7] 闫明鑫, 赵豆豆, 宛惠玲, 等. 孕早期血红蛋白水平与妊娠期糖尿病的关系研究: 基于出生人口队列[J]. 中华疾病控制杂志, 2023, 27(1): 60-64, 76. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-JBKZ202301011.htm
[8] 候斐, 张琳, 高琳, 等. 妊娠早期空腹血糖、体质量指数与血红蛋白联合检测对妊娠糖尿病的预测价值[J]. 海南医学, 2019, 30(6): 713-716. doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-6350.2019.06.010
[9] Artzi NS, Shilo S, Hadar E, et al. Prediction of gestational diabetes based on nationwide electronic health records[J]. Nat Med, 2020, 26(1): 71-76. doi: 10.1038/s41591-019-0724-8
[10] Xiong Y, Lin L, Chen Y, et al. Prediction of gestational diabetes mellitus in the first 19 weeks of pregnancy using machine learning techniques[J]. J Matern Fetal Neonatal Med, 2022, 35(13): 2457-2463. doi: 10.1080/14767058.2020.1786517
[11] 谢幸, 孔北华, 段涛. 妇产科学[M]. 9版. 北京: 人民卫生出版社, 2018: 58-135.
[12] McIntyre HD, Catalano P, Zhang CL, et al. Gestational diabetes mellitus[J]. Nat Rev Dis Primers, 2019, 5(1): 47. doi: 10.1038/s41572-019-0098-8
[13] Pirkola J, Pouta A, Bloigu A, et al. Risks of overweight and abdominal obesity at age 16 years associated with prenatal exposures to maternal prepregnancy overweight and gestational diabetes mellitus[J]. Diabetes Care, 2010, 33(5): 1115-1121. doi: 10.2337/dc09-1871
[14] 曹羽, 俞秋艳, 苗春菊. 妊娠期缺铁性贫血相关指标及对氧磷酶-1水平与围生结局的关系[J]. 临床血液学杂志, 2022, 35(2): 117-120. doi: 10.13201/j.issn.1004-2806.2022.02.008
[15] 俞琳, 许岚, 蒋艳敏. 孕早期血红蛋白在妊娠期糖尿病发病中的重要性[J]. 南京医科大学学报(自然科学版), 2017, 37(7): 886-889. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-NJYK201707024.htm
[16] Lee CS, Zhu SQ, Wu Q, et al. Independent and joint associations of age, pre-pregnancy BMI, and gestational weight gain with adverse pregnancy outcomes in gestational diabetes mellitus[J]. Diabetes Ther, 2023, 14(2): 363-375. doi: 10.1007/s13300-022-01352-7
[17] Chen XH, Scholl TO, Stein TP. Association of elevated serum ferritin levels and the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus in pregnant women: The Camden study[J]. Diabetes Care, 2006, 29(5): 1077-1082. doi: 10.2337/dc06-0164
[18] Wang C, Lin L, Su RN, et al. Hemoglobin levels during the first trimester of pregnancy are associated with the risk of gestational diabetes mellitus, pre-eclampsia and preterm birth in Chinese women: a retrospective study[J]. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth, 2018, 18(1): 263. doi: 10.1186/s12884-018-1800-7
[19] 刘小燕, 江炎章, 苏俊梅. 孕早期空腹血糖、白细胞计数对妊娠期糖尿病的预测价值[J]. 青岛医药卫生, 2020, 39(2): 88-91. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-QDYW202002003.htm
[20] 王薇, 黄婵, 顾华妍, 等. 围孕期空腹血糖对妊娠期糖尿病发生的预测作用及其与不良妊娠结局的关系[J]. 实用妇产科杂志, 2023, 39(2): 142-146. https://www.cnki.com.cn/Article/CJFDTOTAL-SFCZ202302017.htm
[21] Wu YT, Ma SY, Wang Y, et al. A risk prediction model of gestational diabetes mellitus before 16 gestational weeks in Chinese pregnant women[J]. Diabetes Res Clin Pract, 2021, 179: 109001.
[22] Kang M, Zhang H, Zhang J, et al. A novel nomogram for predicting gestational diabetes mellitus during early pregnancy[J]. Front Endocrinol(Lausanne), 2021, 12: 779210.
-