Changes in serum ferritin and alpha fetoprotein levels in non-small cell lung cancer patients and their predictive analysis for postoperative recurrence
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摘要: 目的 观察非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者血清铁蛋白(SF)、甲胎蛋白(AFP)的变化情况,探讨血清SF、AFP对患者术后复发的预测价值。方法 前瞻性纳入2022年1月—2022年12月医院行胸腔镜肺癌根治术治疗的104例NSCLC患者为研究对象,患者术后均接受同方案化疗(TP化疗方案)。所有患者术前、术后4周时进行血清SF、AFP检查。对患者进行为期12个月随访,统计NSCLC患者术后复发情况并依据结局将患者分为复发组和未复发组。比较2组患者手术前后血清SF、AFP的变化情况,并分析血清SF、AFP对NSCLC术后复发的预测价值。结果 所有患者均顺利完成试验,无剔除病例。术后随访12个月期间,104例患者复发20例,复发率约19.23%。复发组术前血清SF、AFP水平均高于未复发组,差异有统计学意义(P<0.05);术后第4周时,2组血清SF、AFP水平均较术前降低,但复发组血清SF、AFP水平仍高于未复发组(P<0.05)。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线图,结果显示,术前、术后第4周时,血清SF、AFP单独及联合预测NSCLC患者术后复发的曲线下面积(AUC)均≥0.70,均有一定预测价值;而术后第4周时,血清SF、AFP联合预测NSCLC患者术后复发的价值优于术前联合预测(Z=2.021,P=0.022)。基于术后4周的血清SF、AFP水平绘制决策曲线,结果显示,当高风险阈值为0~0.80时,净收益率>0;在阈值0~0.25范围内,术后第4周时血清SF、AFP联合预测NSCLC患者术后复发的净获益率高于单一指标检测。结论 NSCLC患者术后血清SF、AFP水平降低,手术前后血清SF、AFP水平预测患者术后复发均有一定临床价值,且术后第4周时血清SF、AFP对患者术后复发的预测效能更理想。Abstract: Objective To observe the changes in serum ferritin(SF) and alpha fetoprotein(AFP) in non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC) patients, and explore the predictive value of serum SF and AFP for postoperative recurrence in patients.Methods A prospective study was conducted on 104 NSCLC patients who underwent thoracoscopic radical surgery for lung cancer in a hospital from January 2022 to December 2022. All patients were examined for serum SF and AFP before and 4 weeks after operation. The patients were followed up for 12 months. The postoperative recurrence of NSCLC patients was counted and the patients were divided into recurrence group and non-recurrence group according to the outcome. The changes of serum SF and AFP before and after operation were compared between the two groups, and the predictive value of serum SF and AFP for postoperative recurrence of NSCLC was analyzed.Results All patients successfully completed the trial and no cases were excluded. During the 12 month follow-up period after surgery, 20 out of 104 patients experienced recurrence, with a recurrence rate of approximately 19.23%. The preoperative serum SF and AFP levels in the recurrence group were higher than those in the non recurrence group, with statistical significant differences(P < 0.05). At the 4th week after surgery, the serum SF and AFP levels in both groups decreased compared to before surgery, but the serum SF and AFP levels in the recurrence group were still higher than those in the non recurrence group(P < 0.05). The receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve was drawn. The results showed that the area under the curve(AUC) of serum SF, AFP alone and combined in predicting postoperative recurrence of NSCLC patients was≥0.70 before and 4 weeks after operation, which had certain predictive value. At the fourth week after surgery, the combined prediction of serum SF and AFP for postoperative recurrence in NSCLC patients was more valuable than preoperative prediction(Z=2.021, P=0.022). Based on the serum SF and AFP levels at 4 weeks post surgery, a decision curve was drawn. The results showed that when the high-risk threshold was between 0 and 0.80, the net return rate was greater than 0. Within the threshold range of 0-0.25, the combined prediction of serum SF and AFP for postoperative recurrence in NSCLC patients at 4 weeks after surgery had a higher net benefit rate than single indicator detection.Conclusion The serum SF and AFP levels in NSCLC patients decrease after surgery, and both preoperative and postoperative serum SF and AFP levels have certain clinical value in predicting postoperative recurrence. Moreover, serum SF and AFP at the 4th week after surgery have a more ideal predictive effect on postoperative recurrence in patients.
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表 1 复发组、未复发组基线资料比较
例(%),X±S 基线资料 复发组(n=20) 未复发组(n=84) 统计值 P 年龄/岁 χ2=0.274 0.601 ≥60 15(75.00) 58(69.05) <60 5(25.00) 26(30.95) 性别 χ2=0.025 0.875 男 12(60.00) 52(61.90) 女 8(40.00) 32(38.10) BMI/(kg/m2) 21.65±1.02 21.44±1.06 t=0.802 0.425 合并高血压 χ2=0.475 0.491 是 11(55.00) 39(46.43) 否 9(45.00) 45(53.57) 合并2型糖尿病 χ2=0.085 0.771 是 4(20.00) 12(14.29) 否 16(80.00) 72(85.71) 合并高脂血症 χ2=0.119 0.730 是 6(30.00) 22(26.19) 否 14(70.00) 62(73.81) 肿瘤直径/cm 4.82±0.65 4.78±0.63 t=0.254 0.800 病理类型 χ2=0.356 0.837 腺癌 8(40.00) 36(42.86) 鳞癌 5(25.00) 16(19.05) 其他 7(35.00) 32(38.10) 肿瘤TNM分期 χ2=21.401 <0.001 Ⅲ期 15(75.00) 18(21.43) Ⅰ/Ⅱ期 5(25.00) 66(78.57) 术前淋巴结转移 χ2=0.248 0.619 有 11(55.00) 41(48.81) 无 9(45.00) 43(51.19) 吸烟史 χ2=0.457 0.499 有 14(70.00) 52(61.90) 无 6(30.00) 32(38.10) CEA/(ng/L) 108.23±13.52 92.26±12.75 t=4.977 <0.001 SCC/(ng/mL) 10.23±2.35 7.35±1.86 t=5.904 <0.001 CYFRA21-1/(ng/mL) 9.48±1.28 6.08±1.32 t=10.411 <0.001 表 2 复发组、未复发组术前及术后第4周时血清SF、AFP水平比较
μg/L,X±S 组别 例数 血清SF 血清AFP 术前 术后第4周 术前 术后第4周 复发组 20 478.26±32.15 312.25±28.321) 292.42±22.61 122.35±15.481) 未复发组 84 458.84±30.36 284.54±26.421) 275.43±21.84 104.35±12.531) t - 3.067 4.157 3.105 4.566 P - 0.003 <0.001 0.005 <0.001 与同组术前比较,1)P<0.05。 表 3 术前血清SF、AFP单独及联合对NSCLC患者术后复发的预测价值
项目 AUC AUC 95%CI SE P 最佳阈值/(μg/L) 灵敏度 特异度 约登指数 SF 0.707 0.573~0.841 0.068 0.004 476.25 0.700 0.702 0.402 AFP 0.703 0.576~0.830 0.065 0.005 281.66 0.700 0.643 0.343 SF+AFP 0.780 0.681~0.880 0.051 <0.001 - 0.850 0.631 0.481 表 4 术后第4周时的血清SF、AFP单独及联合对NSCLC患者术后复发的预测价值
项目 AUC AUC 95%CI SE P 最佳阈值/(μg/L) 灵敏度 特异度 约登指数 术后第4周SF 0.857 0.761~0.953 0.049 <0.001 304.150 0.750 0.905 0.655 术后第4周AFP 0.779 0.662~0.896 0.060 <0.001 111.815 0.700 0.738 0.438 SF+AFP 0.905 0.836~0.973 0.035 <0.001 - 0.850 0.845 0.695 -
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